If you thought we were having a May 2nd election boy were you wrong

If you thought we were having a May 2nd election boy were you wrong

Last night Sunak ruled out something most of us realised was unlikely, a May election. I think the election will be in September to December of this year, although I am entertaining the thought that the Tories will hold the election in January 2025 in the hope something turns up by then to save them. TSE

Unsurprising findings

Unsurprising findings

These poll findings aren’t surprising, Hamas undoubtedly committed war crimes and Israel’s response seems to be seen as disproportionate as it appears Israel is repeatedly shelling and mass displacement of innocent civilians for months on end. I remain of the opinion that events in the Middle East will have no meaningful impact on the UK general election however if things do not change in the Middle East it could cause problems for both major parties in a handful of seats….

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Rishi Sunak is the new Boris Johnson and that’s not a good thing

Rishi Sunak is the new Boris Johnson and that’s not a good thing

What a lot of Boris Johnson fans seem to forget or ignore is that it wasn’t lockdown parties, Brexit, or centerists Dads who ousted Boris Johnson, it was Boris Johnson lying about knowingly promoted a known sexual predator in a position of authority and then getting his ministers to unknowingly repeat that lie publicly. People do not like being made to look like idiots particularly on serious matters like sexual misconduct or racism. The way Tories spent the early part…

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Mo’ money mo’ problems

Mo’ money mo’ problems

Rishi Sunak must feel like the late lamented The Notorious B.I.G. who sang ‘Mo’ money mo’ problems’ after Frank Hester’s repugnant comments about Diane Abbott. If Sunak was to match his rhetoric on extremism with actions then he would return the £10 million donation from Frank Hester and wouldn’t have prevaricated for so long before calling Hester’s words for the racist poison they were. The reality is that in an election year the Tories are in no place to return…

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Ayrshire hotelier wins the GOP nomination

Ayrshire hotelier wins the GOP nomination

Overnight it was confirmed that Ayrshire hotelier Donald Trump will take on President Biden in November’s presidential election, the key thing that stood out for me was the result in Georgia, a state critical to the outcome of the last election. It fits in with my theory that there is an enthusiam gap for Trump which if continues until election day will see him lose in November. TSE

Holidays can be cancelled of course

Holidays can be cancelled of course

Talk of a May election refuses to go away but I still feel a May 2nd election is as likely as Boris Johnson telling the truth. The reality is whilst Sunak has around a fortnight to call a May 2nd election he needs to call it by the middle of next week to tidy up the legislative issues still outstanding in parliament and there’s no rush for that at the moment, you don’t have an election whilst key staff are…

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Could Lee Anderson and his ilk cause an early election?

Could Lee Anderson and his ilk cause an early election?

I am very dubious about this alleged strategy from Sunak which reminded me of the brilliant film Blazing Saddles and the scene where the black sheriff bluffs and puts a gun to his own head to deal with the racist locals. Calling an election is one of the few things that Sunak has absolute control of and even though he is a poor strategist I don’t think he will cede that power to Reform defectors unless they actually wipe out…

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Former Labour councillor defects to Reform

Former Labour councillor defects to Reform

Lee Anderson defecting to UKIP is and isn’t a bit of a surprise given his love of switching political parties, but only a few weeks ago Reform were saying Lee Anderson wasn’t for them. Sadly Lee Anderson is a hypocrite so will not be giving us a by-election, I suspect he’s doomed whatever banner he stands under at the next election. An interesting market would be to see how many Tory MPs defect to Reform before the general election, there’s…

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